Hydropower sector is the top loser; turnover decline by massive 47%; Weekly Wrap Up of the NEPSE
Fri, Sep 27, 2019 1:30 PM on NEPSE News, Weekly Analysis,
Index opened at 1155.30 points and closed at 1129.80 points with the loss of 25.5 points (2.21%). On Sunday the index was down by 16.05 points to sit at 1139.25. Monday market was green by 1.73 points. Tuesday index lost 6.42 points. Wednesday and Thursday index fell by 3.03 and 1.73 points.
Candlestick pattern:
Four Bearish candles and one green candle were formed this week. Monday, green candle was formed whereas red candle was formed in rest of the trading days.
Exponential Moving Average:
We have used EMA's of 5 days' time period (blue line), 20 days' time period (red line). At present, NEPSE Index is below both 5 days EMA and 20 days EMA. Value below moving average usually is bearish signal. Dead cross signal generated by moving average on 29th of July,2019 is still valid.
Relative Strength Index:
Relative Strength Index is currently at over sold zone, 33.
Moving Average Convergence and Divergence:
MACD line (blue) and the signal line (red line) are in negative zone. Histogram is also in negative zone which shows market could fall further in upcoming days.
Fibonacci retracement method:
NEPSE Index is trading below 78.6 % Fibonacci level. Trading below 61.8% indicates weight of bear is more than bull.
This week's market statistics:
Index Open-1155.30 points Index closed-1129.80 points
Index High- 1157.79 points Index low- 1128.61 points
Support and resistance level for next week according to Pivot Point.
Pivot Point- 1138 point
1st Resistance-1148 point 1st support-1119 point
2nd Resistance-1167 point 2nd support-1109 point
Conclusion: All major indicators are supporting down trend. We can expect market to be sluggish next week.
Weekly Market Summary of NEPSE
More than 40.41 lakhs unit shares of worth Rs 1 arba has been traded through 23.82 thousand transactions this week compared to 65.87 lakhs unit of shares of worth Rs 1.89 arba, last week. The current market capitalization of NEPSE stands at Rs. 1,435,318.77 Million.
| This week | Last week | Percentage Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total Turnover (Rs.) | 1,001,970,877.00 | 1,892,740,277.00 | -47.06% |
| Total Traded Shares | 4,041,919.00 | 6,587,022.00 | -38.64% |
| Total No. of Transactions | 23,829.00 | 37,327.00 | -36.16% |
| Market Cap at (In million Rs) | 1,435,318.77 | 1,467,449.68 | -2.19% |
| Floated Market Cap at (In million Rs) | 518,861.01 | 530,720.69 | -2.23% |
| No of trading days | 5 | 5 |
The turnover has decreased by 47.06% this week compared to last week and the total number of transaction also decreased by 38.64%.
Sector-wise breakdown of the turnover of this week:
The commercial bank sector made 49% of the total turnover this week followed by microfinance sector with 10% of the total turnover.
| Sector | This Week (Sept 22-26) | |
|---|---|---|
| Turnover (Rs in Millions) | Weightage | |
| Commercial Banks | 488.14 | 48.72% |
| Microfinance | 97.62 | 9.74% |
| Promotor Shares | 88.64 | 8.85% |
| Hydro Power | 80.65 | 8.05% |
| Life Insurance | 58.06 | 5.79% |
| Manufacturing And Processing | 53.36 | 5.33% |
| Development Banks | 51.91 | 5.18% |
| Non Life Insurance | 46.91 | 4.68% |
| Others | 18.09 | 1.81% |
| Finance | 11.26 | 1.12% |
| Hotels | 3.76 | 0.38% |
| Mutual Fund | 3.37 | 0.34% |
| Tradings | 0.2 | 0.02% |
NEPSE index and Sub-indices performance: (Increment here is based on the previous week closed value)
The NEPSE index declined by 2.21%. Majority of the indices end the week with the loss. Top loser sector of this week is Hydropower Sector with the decline of 4.25%.
Top gainer of the week is Trading sector which rises by 1.61%.
| Index | This Week | Last Week | Point Change | % Change Index |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NEPSE | 1,129.80 | 1,155.30 | -25.50 | -2.21% |
| Sensitive | 247.32 | 252.21 | -4.89 | -1.94% |
| Float | 83.57 | 85.55 | -1.98 | -2.31% |
| Sensitive Float | 79.43 | 81.22 | -1.79 | -2.20% |
| Banking | 1,036.77 | 1,058.42 | -21.65 | -2.05% |
| Development Bank | 1,538.71 | 1,567.00 | -28.29 | -1.81% |
| Finance | 562.96 | 573 | -10.04 | -1.75% |
| Hotels | 1,864.85 | 1,910.52 | -45.67 | -2.39% |
| HydroPower | 921.32 | 962.19 | -40.87 | -4.25% |
| Life Insu | 4,992.43 | 5,118.39 | -125.96 | -2.46% |
| Manufacturing And Processing | 2,413.55 | 2,503.79 | -90.24 | -3.60% |
| Microfinance | 1,449.12 | 1,487.44 | -38.32 | -2.58% |
| Mutual Fund | 9.36 | 9.42 | -0.06 | -0.64% |
| Non Life Insu | 4,213.44 | 4,397.96 | -184.52 | -4.20% |
| Others | 640.41 | 638.74 | 1.67 | 0.26% |
| Trading | 292.51 | 287.87 | 4.64 | 1.61% |
Stock with the highest monthly Beta value from the Banking &Finance Sector
The table below shows the list:
| SN | Stock Symbol | LTP | Monthly Beta | Sector |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | TMDBL | 146 | 3.82 | Development Bank |
| 2 | GLBSL | 427 | 3.41 | Microfinance |
| 3 | MSMBS | 460 | 2.35 | Microfinance |
| 4 | MLBBL | 450 | 2.27 | Microfinance |
| 5 | SPARS | 539 | 2.26 | Microfinance |
| 6 | GILB | 722 | 2.24 | Microfinance |
| 7 | NNLB | 421 | 2.13 | Microfinance |
| 8 | GMFBS | 461 | 1.97 | Microfinance |
| 9 | KADBL | 174 | 1.88 | Development Bank |
| 10 | ILBS | 423 | 1.83 | Microfinance |
Tinau Mission Development Bank Limited (TMDBL) has the highest monthly Beta value of 3.82 followed by the Gurans Laghubitta (GLBSL) with 3.41 beta value.
All the analysis are done with the SS Pro Software. To know more about the software click on the link below
Top Ten Gainers of the week:
Khani Khola Hydropower Company (KKHC) is the top gainer of the week. KKHC closed at Rs 58 with Rs 9 (18.37%) increment.
| S.N. | Symbol | Open Price (Rs.) | Closing Price (Rs.) | Change (Rs.) | Change (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | KKHC | 49 | 58 | 9 | 18.37 |
| 2 | GGBSL | 247 | 266 | 19 | 7.69 |
| 3 | CEFL | 99 | 104 | 5 | 5.05 |
| 4 | STC | 627 | 658 | 31 | 4.94 |
| 5 | NLICP | 508 | 518 | 10 | 1.97 |
| 6 | UMHL | 103 | 105 | 2 | 1.94 |
| 7 | GUFL | 112 | 114 | 2 | 1.79 |
| 8 | SRS | 227 | 231 | 4 | 1.76 |
| 9 | SPDL | 71 | 72 | 1 | 1.41 |
| 10 | NMBHF1 | 8.18 | 8.29 | 0.11 | 1.34 |
Top Ten Losers of the week:
Srijana Finance Limited (SFFIL) price has decreased by 19.75% and its LTP stands at Rs 195.
| S.N. | Symbol | Open Price (Rs.) | Closing Price (Rs.) | Change (Rs.) | Change (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SFFIL | 243 | 195 | -48 | -19.75 |
| 2 | JOSHI | 62 | 54 | -8 | -12.9 |
| 3 | TMDBL | 164 | 146 | -18 | -10.98 |
| 4 | SHPC | 205 | 183 | -22 | -10.73 |
| 5 | EIC | 266 | 239 | -27 | -10.15 |
| 6 | RHPC | 90 | 81 | -9 | -10 |
| 7 | RMDC | 652 | 587 | -65 | -9.97 |
| 8 | GLBSL | 472 | 427 | -45 | -9.53 |
| 9 | IGI | 315 | 285 | -30 | -9.52 |
| 10 | RLFL | 120 | 109 | -11 | -9.17 |
Top Stocks by Turnover and Number of Transaction:
Sanima Bank Limited (SANIMA) was the top traded company of the week. More than Rs 6.16 crore worth of SANIMA shares were traded this week.
| S.N. | Top Turnover | Top No of Transaction | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Symbol | Turnover (Rs.) | Symbol | Trans (No) | |
| 1 | SANIMA | 61,677,055 | RHPL | 2,191 |
| 2 | SHIVM | 47,614,333 | SJCL | 2,105 |
| 3 | PRVU | 41,607,728 | UPPER | 828 |
| 4 | NLIC | 34,861,717 | SHIVM | 606 |
| 5 | MBL | 33,453,649 | NLIC | 539 |
| 6 | SBLPO | 31,288,900 | AKBSL | 532 |
| 7 | SBL | 30,248,690 | SABSL | 521 |
| 8 | NBL | 29,201,587 | MEGA | 520 |
| 9 | ADBL | 27,142,503 | PRVU | 476 |
| 10 | NICA | 24,216,384 | SANIMA | 474 |
Top Buyers Brokers of the Week:
Premier Securities Pvt. Limited (Broker No- 32) was the top Buyer broker of this week and it has bought stocks of worth Rs 8.31 crores.
| S.N. | Broker No. | Broker Name | Buy Amount (Rs.) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 32 | Premier Securities Company Limited | 83,102,583.00 |
| 2 | 49 | Online Securities Pvt.Ltd | 68,226,755.95 |
| 3 | 44 | Dynamic Money Managers Securities | 51,974,417.00 |
| 4 | 45 | Imperial Securities Co .Pvt.Limited | 40,279,579.50 |
| 5 | 57 | Araya Tara Investment And Securities | 37,052,310.00 |
| 6 | 17 | ABC Securities Pvt. Limited | 35,945,254.80 |
| 7 | 34 | Vision Securities Pvt.Limited | 34,627,394.60 |
| 8 | 28 | Shree Krishna Securities Limited | 32,236,340.60 |
| 9 | 39 | Sumeru Securities Pvt.Limited | 31,769,643.00 |
| 10 | 33 | Dakshinkali Investment Securities Pvt | 29,067,052.00 |
Top Seller Broker of the Week:
Online Securities Investment Pvt. Limited. (Broker No- 49) is the top seller broker for this week. The brokerage firm has sold stocks of worth Rs 15.26 crores.
| S.N. | Broker No. | Broker Name | Sell Amount (Rs.) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | J.F. Securities Company Pvt. Limited | 56,856,727.00 |
| 2 | 58 | Naasa Securities Co. Ltd. | 51,651,104.44 |
| 3 | 45 | Imperial Securities Co .Pvt.Limited | 46,204,721.00 |
| 4 | 34 | Vision Securities Pvt.Limited | 39,686,486.00 |
| 5 | 32 | Premier Securites Company Limited | 39,592,321.10 |
| 6 | 57 | Araya Tara Investment And Securities | 36,951,749.00 |
| 7 | 6 | Agrawal Securities Pvt. Limited | 36,028,175.00 |
| 8 | 4 | Opal Securities Investment Pvt. Limited | 35,969,552.00 |
| 9 | 38 | Dipshika Dhitopatra Karobar Co. | 33,172,145.00 |
| 10 | 44 | Dynamic Money Managers Securities | 31,298,075.00 |
Top 10 Market Capitalization Companies:
| S. No. | Symbol | Capitalization (Rs. In Million) |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | NTC | 94050 |
| 2 | NABIL | 68346.43 |
| 3 | NIB | 55983.41 |
| 4 | EBL | 44709.63 |
| 5 | SCB | 44543.55 |
| 6 | NLIC | 41550.98 |
| 7 | HBL | 41493.65 |
| 8 | ADBL | 36963.67 |
| 9 | NMB | 36741.38 |
| 10 | NICA | 36441.19 |
All the analysis are done with the SS Pro Software. To know more about the software click on the link below
