Hydropower sector performed worst in 2075, investors lost 24%; More than 4K crore disappears in 2075 in NEPSE; A year review of 2075
Fri, Apr 12, 2019 7:12 PM on Featured, SS Pro, Stock Market, Weekly Analysis, Exclusive, Recommended,
A complete Market Review of 2075.
The market in the year 2075 opened at 1277.55 points and closed at 1184.02 points and has lost 93.53 points (7.32%).
This year market hit the high of 1461 points on the 10th Baisakh 2075 and the year low of 1098 on 21st Chaitra 2075. The difference between the high and low is 363 points.
A market was awfully positive at the beginning of 2075 as the NEPSE index had gain 184 points in just 6 trading days. A gain of 14.40% was achieved in between 2ndBaisakh to 10thBaisakh 2075.
Every year market looks positive during the Chaitra end and Baisakh beginning. This year as well market is following this pattern, so we can expect a market to gain some quick points next week.
Market Trend of the year 2075:
Candlestick chart of the weekly time period is shown below.
The index has made the lower lows during this period and not even a single upward movement crossed the previous highest point. This movement of NEPSE index specifies the bearish trend.
This year, we often observed an upward movement of short time-period whereas the downward movement persists for a comparatively longer period of time.
Comparing to the year 2073 and 2074 market seems less volatile this year. Low volatility period after the strong trend inkling the weakness of the current trend.
Yearly Market Summary of NEPSE
In the year 2075, a share of worth Rs 91 Arba was traded through 12 lakhs transactions. The total number of traded shares stands at 29.56 crores.
Financials |
Total Value |
---|---|
Total Turnover (Rs.) |
91,118,798,972.00 |
Total Traded Shares |
295,660,577.00 |
Total No. of Transactions |
1,209,292.00 |
Scrips Traded |
176 |
Market Cap at (2018-04-13) (In Millions) |
1,500,845.73 |
Market Cap at (2019-04-12) (In Millions) |
1,462,507.74 |
Floated Market Cap at (2018-04-13) (In Millions) |
505,900.21 |
Floated Market Cap at (2019-04-12) (In Millions) |
514,021.46 |
The Market Capitalization of NEPSE has decreased to Rs 145,250.77 crores from Rs 150,084.57 crore. Around Rs 4,833.8 Crore has been evaporated from the market in this period.
The statistics of NEPSE in the Year 2075
Statistics |
Total Turnover (Rs.) |
Total Traded Shares (Rs.) |
Total Transactions |
Scrips Traded |
Market Cap (In crore) |
Floated Market Cap (In crore) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Total Traded Days |
243 |
243 |
243 |
243 |
243 |
243 |
Mean |
374974481.4 |
1216710.19 |
4976.51 |
161.46 |
144338.63 |
49653.19 |
Standard Deviation |
242969386.5 |
841319.14 |
2102.46 |
9.08 |
6664.72 |
2056.28 |
Minimum |
33532218 |
117598 |
574 |
96 |
133379.87 |
46222.67 |
Median |
315451014 |
991730 |
4530 |
163 |
142560.23 |
49244.63 |
Maximum |
2166506465 |
8095072 |
15747 |
176 |
168679.07 |
57127.28 |
There was a total of 243 trading days this year. The average turnover amount stands at Rs 37.49 crores. As the mean median are comparable, we can say that the turnover is uniformly distributed on both sides of the median.
The turnover of NEPSE was highest on the 14th February 2019 where around Rs 2.16 arba worth of shares was traded.
The turnover of NEPSE was minimum on the 06th November 2019 where around Rs 3.35 crore worth of shares were traded.
There was a decent variation in the Turnover amount in the year 2075.
Months Wise Break Down of the total Turnover:
Around 36% of the total turnover came from the Months of Baisakh, Poush, and Ashwin.
The month where the turnover was highest was Baisakh were a number of Rs 12.33 arba worth of Shares were traded. The list below shows the table for the same.
Months |
Total Traded Shares (Rs.) |
Total Transactions |
Total Turnover (Rs.) |
---|---|---|---|
Baisakh |
27,061,145.00 |
140,847.00 |
12,334,893,796.00 |
Jestha |
20,027,929.00 |
103,893.00 |
8,459,722,084.00 |
Ashad |
19,644,906.00 |
83,561.00 |
5,801,841,188.00 |
Shrawan |
19,366,381.00 |
82,473.00 |
5,545,302,581.00 |
Bhadra |
27,905,681.00 |
94,610.00 |
7,873,092,190.00 |
Ashwin |
42,736,566.00 |
119,927.00 |
10,516,023,607.00 |
Kartik |
15,386,789.00 |
58,540.00 |
3,899,530,374.00 |
Mangsir |
22,960,253.00 |
81,802.00 |
7,104,642,900.00 |
Poush |
31,525,713.00 |
115,703.00 |
10,464,565,678.00 |
Magh |
21,769,230.00 |
135,602.00 |
6,555,070,217.00 |
Fagun |
25,429,747.00 |
100,813.00 |
7,119,501,233.00 |
Chaitra |
28,639,062.00 |
118,566.00 |
7,664,141,021.00 |
Month-wise breakdown of the total traded shares in the year 2075:
More than 14.1% of the total traded shares were traded in the months of Ashwin.
Sector-wise Breakdown:
The pie chart below shows the distribution of turnover among the different sectors.
Sector |
Turnover |
Total Traded Shares |
Total Transaction |
---|---|---|---|
Banking |
40,566,256,814.00 |
140,896,848.00 |
463,048.00 |
Dev Bank |
4,462,968,004.00 |
23,713,726.00 |
88,677.00 |
Finance |
799,778,589.00 |
7,899,034.00 |
18,771.00 |
Hydropower |
5,381,831,484.00 |
20,741,040.00 |
212,493.00 |
Life Insurance |
6,985,254,554.00 |
8,395,817.00 |
71,778.00 |
Microfinance |
10,588,839,602.00 |
11,223,001.00 |
188,563.00 |
Non-Life Insurance |
7,521,753,674.00 |
9,936,056.00 |
80,530.00 |
Remaining |
14,812,116,251.00 |
72,855,055.00 |
85,432.00 |
Around 45% of total traded amount belongs to the commercial banks sector for the year 2075. Remaining sector here represents all those sectors which are not mentioned in the table.
The Indices and sub-indices Review:
The price and percentage change of the indices for the year 2075 is given below
Index |
12-Apr-18 |
11-Apr-19 |
Points Change |
% Change |
---|---|---|---|---|
NEPSE |
1,277.55 |
1,184.02 |
-93.53 |
-7.32 |
Sensitive |
272.45 |
253.64 |
-18.81 |
-6.90 |
Float |
92.12 |
86.91 |
-5.21 |
-5.65 |
Sensitive Float |
82.83 |
80.38 |
-2.45 |
-2.95 |
Banking Sub |
1,134.04 |
1,052.12 |
-81.92 |
-7.22 |
Development Bank |
1,492.18 |
1,479.70 |
-12.48 |
-0.83 |
Finance |
648.6 |
618.12 |
-30.48 |
-4.69 |
Hotels |
1,859.99 |
1,729.52 |
-130.47 |
-7.01 |
Hydropower |
1,511.87 |
1,138.74 |
-373.13 |
-24.68 |
Insurance |
6,161.08 |
- |
||
Manufacturing And Processing |
2,264.28 |
1,981.75 |
-282.53 |
-12.47 |
Microfinance |
1,477.84 |
1,395.16 |
-82.68 |
-5.59 |
Others |
713.69 |
705.7 |
-7.99 |
-1.11 |
Life Insurance |
- |
5,991.53 |
||
Non-Life Insurance |
- |
5,435.73 |
The worst sector in 2075 for the investor is the Hydro Power sector, it has lost 24% in 243 trading days. The lost is more than 300% then the NEPSE index.
The 2nd worst sector for an investor is the Manufacturing and Processing sector, the sub-index has lost 12% in 2075.
The best sector for an investor in 2075 is development bank sector. This sector has lost only 0.8% in 2075, the NEPSE index has lost more than 800% compared to the Development Bank sector.
The date and the points change when the respective indices gained maximum percentage in 2075.
Date |
Index |
Index Value |
Absolute Change |
Percentage Change |
---|---|---|---|---|
2018-04-18 |
Development Bank Index |
1611.14 |
65.34 |
4.23 |
2018-04-22 |
NEPSE Index |
1438.49 |
50.18 |
3.61 |
2018-04-22 |
Banking Sub Index |
1244.98 |
39.31 |
3.26 |
2018-04-17 |
Microfinance Index |
1681.8 |
120.11 |
7.69 |
2018-04-22 |
Finance Index |
709.63 |
23.14 |
3.37 |
2018-05-28 |
Hotels Index |
2026.32 |
101.11 |
5.25 |
2018-04-18 |
Hydropower Index |
1,664.32 |
107.73 |
6.92 |
2018-12-26 |
Life Insurance |
6,137.23 |
443.50 |
7.79 |
2018-09-03 |
Manufacturing And Processing |
2,250.05 |
93.20 |
4.32 |
2018-12-23 |
Non-Life Insurance |
5,644.60 |
318.02 |
5.97 |
2018-04-19 |
Others Index |
777.23 |
29.66 |
3.97 |
The date and the points change when the respective indices lost maximum percentage in 2075.
Date |
Index |
Index Value |
Absolute Change |
Percentage Change |
2018-12-05 |
Development Bank Index |
1407.52 |
-63.64 |
-4.33 |
2018-06-03 |
NEPSE Index |
1273.95 |
-33.71 |
-2.58 |
2018-06-03 |
Banking Sub Index |
1080.19 |
-26.04 |
-2.35 |
2018-06-03 |
Microfinance Index |
1702 |
-55.07 |
-3.13 |
2018-04-26 |
Finance Index |
673.48 |
-11.61 |
-1.69 |
2018-07-11 |
Hotels Index |
1811.42 |
-86.42 |
-4.55 |
2019-01-21 |
Hydropower Index |
1,237.04 |
-56.04 |
-4.33 |
2018-08-12 |
Life Insurance |
5,578.03 |
-193.37 |
-3.35 |
2018-12-05 |
Non-Life Insurance |
4,913.07 |
-190.18 |
-3.73 |
2018-12-30 |
Others Index |
739.17 |
-33.44 |
-4.33 |
Please note that: The stock with the highest increment/decrement in the price may not mean the top gainer/top loser for the year 2075 as we have not considered the dividend distribution.
Top Company whose price has increased the most in 2075:
Aarambha Microfinance Bittiya Sanstha Limited (AMFI) price has increased from Rs 300 to Rs 636 and the change in Price was 112%.
Symbol |
Initial Price (Rs.) |
Closing Price (Rs.) |
Change (Rs.) |
Change (%) |
---|---|---|---|---|
AMFI |
300 |
636 |
336 |
112 |
STC |
246 |
501 |
255 |
103.66 |
SMATA |
619 |
1,200.00 |
581 |
93.86 |
UMB |
612 |
1,121.00 |
509 |
83.17 |
SMB |
376 |
590 |
214 |
56.91 |
SRS |
124 |
194 |
70 |
56.45 |
NLICLP |
695 |
1,070.00 |
375 |
53.96 |
NICA |
323 |
469 |
146 |
45.2 |
NICAP |
175 |
250 |
75 |
42.86 |
HDL |
1,040.00 |
1,350.00 |
310 |
29.81 |
Salt Trading Corporation Limited (STC) is a second company with the highest price change of 103%.
Top Company whose price has decreased the most in 2075:
Naya Nepal Laghubitta Bikas Bank Limited (NNLB) price has decreased the most. NNLB opened with Rs 1,895 and closed at Rs 424 with the decrement of Rs 1,471 (-77.55%) in the period of 1 year. The NNLB has provided a huge right share for its shareholders in the year 2075.
Symbol |
Initial Price (Rs.) |
Closing Price (Rs.) |
Change (Rs.) |
Change (%) |
---|---|---|---|---|
NNLB |
1,895.00 |
424 |
-1,471.00 |
-77.63 |
CBBLPO |
490 |
110 |
-380 |
-77.55 |
EBLPO |
1,045.00 |
265 |
-780 |
-74.64 |
NBBLPO |
1,300.00 |
370 |
-930 |
-71.54 |
NBBL |
2,120.00 |
608 |
-1,512.00 |
-71.32 |
RRHP |
266 |
92 |
-174 |
-65.41 |
MMFDB |
2,450.00 |
906 |
-1,544.00 |
-63.02 |
SLBBL |
1,350.00 |
501 |
-849 |
-62.89 |
SLBBLP |
675.00 |
267 |
-408 |
-60.44 |
MLBBL |
1,100.00 |
485 |
-615 |
-55.91 |
The CCBLPO’s stock price has decreased by 77.55% in the year 2075.
Top Stocks by Turnover:
Nepal Bank Limited (NBL) was the top traded company of 2075. More than Rs 4.65 arba worth of NBL shares were traded in 2075. The amount is more than 5% of the total turnover.
Symbol |
Initial Price (Rs.) |
Closing Price (Rs.) |
Change (Rs.) |
Change (%) |
Turnover (Rs.) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
NBL |
321 |
297 |
-24 |
-7.48 |
4,656,629,901 |
NMB |
445 |
356 |
-89 |
-20 |
3,275,902,809 |
NLIC |
1,155.00 |
1,095.00 |
-60 |
-5.19 |
2,746,043,279 |
NICA |
323 |
469 |
146 |
45.2 |
2,631,458,498 |
PRVU |
220 |
249 |
29 |
13.18 |
2,394,248,440 |
NIB |
667 |
549 |
-118 |
-17.69 |
2,076,895,928 |
EBLPO |
1,045.00 |
265 |
-780 |
-74.64 |
1,917,639,392 |
NCCB |
255 |
226 |
-29 |
-11.37 |
1,759,972,947 |
KBL |
250 |
259 |
9 |
3.6 |
1,739,658,761 |
GBIME |
311 |
271 |
-40 |
-12.86 |
1,676,741,765 |
NMB Bank is the 2nd Most traded company of the year. More than Rs 3 arba worth of NMB banks shares were traded in 2075. All the top ten traded company in the year 2075 are from the commercial bank sector.
Top traded company of the respective sector is shown below:
Symbol |
Sector |
Initial Price (Rs.) |
Closing Price (Rs.) |
Change (Rs.) |
Change (%) |
Turnover (Rs.) |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
NBL |
Commercial Bank |
321 |
297 |
-24 |
-7.48 |
4,656,629,901 |
MNBBL |
Development Bank |
396 |
358 |
-38 |
-9.6 |
690,059,077 |
ICFC |
Finance |
183 |
153 |
-30 |
-16.39 |
90,073,973 |
SHL |
Hotel |
249 |
206 |
-43 |
-17.27 |
380,356,114 |
UPPER |
Hydropower |
0 |
232 |
232 |
0 |
1,140,940,401 |
NLIC |
Life Insurance |
1,155.00 |
1,095.00 |
-60 |
-5.19 |
2,746,043,279 |
SHIVM |
Manufacturing |
0 |
306 |
306 |
0 |
170,338,497 |
CBBL |
Microfinance |
900 |
903 |
3 |
0.33 |
1,129,394,970 |
NMBSF1 |
Mutual Funds |
12.72 |
10.5 |
-2.22 |
-17.45 |
70,905,423 |
PIC |
Non-Life Insurance |
1,014.00 |
1,008.00 |
-6 |
-0.59 |
1,103,246,246 |
CIT |
Others |
2,500.00 |
2,557.00 |
57 |
2.28 |
1,322,507,018 |
BBC |
Trading |
1,850.00 |
1,633.00 |
-217 |
-11.73 |
37,574,815 |
EBLPO |
Promoter |
1,045.00 |
265 |
-780 |
-74.64 |
1,917,639,392 |