NEPSE Bounced Back 161.82 Points With 10.99 Arba This Week

Fri, Dec 30, 2022 12:07 PM on Stock Market, Weekly Analysis, Latest,

-ShareSansar

Part 1: Rundown and Technical Analysis

The NEPSE index closed at 2,029.03 this week after a gain of 161.82 points (8.67%). The index closed at 1,867.21 last week with a loss of 0.82% from the week before that.

This week, the index went as high as 2,029.03 and as low as 1,868.18, hence witnessing volatility of 160.85 points. The index had seen volatility of 34.21 points in the previous week.

Analysis of Trend and Volume

Trend analysis is a technical analysis method that helps to predict future movement based on the current ongoing trend data. Looking at the daily charts, the short-term is up but and mid-term trends of the NEPSE index is still down.

The highest intraday gain was 59.86 points on Tuesday with a turnover of Rs 3.88 Arba, however, the total turnover stood at Rs 10.99 Arba this week.

Momentum Indicators

The relative strength index (RSI) is a momentum indicator used in technical analysis that measures the magnitude of recent price changes to evaluate overbought or oversold conditions in the price of a stock or index. Traditional interpretation and usage of the RSI are that values of 70 or above indicate that a security is becoming overbought or overvalued and may be primed for a trend reversal or corrective pullback in price. An RSI reading of 30 or below indicates an oversold or undervalued condition.

The RSI reading on the daily timeframe is 69.55. Meanwhile, the RSI reading on the weekly chart is 52.18.

On the other side of things, the MACD line is in the Negative zone, i.e. below zero in the daily timeframe, but moving upward to the positive zone with the MACD reading at -2.11. The signal line is above the MACD line. This indicates an increase in bullish sentiment.

Moving Averages

NEPSE index is above both 5 days Exponential Moving Average (EMA) and 20 days EMA. The index above these moving averages signals bullishness. The 5 days EMA is above the 20 Days EMA with a golden crossover pattern forming. The golden cross is a technical pattern indicating the potential for an uptrend. The golden cross pattern is formed on 27^th December.

1,880 to 1,965 zone may act as the nearest support whereas, the 2200 zone will act as resistance.

Part 2: Insight into Important Data

The highest intraday gain was 59.87 points on Tuesday with a turnover of Rs 3.88 Arba, whereas the total turnover of the week stood at Rs 10.99 Arba. More than 3.22 crore unit shares have been traded through 187,224 transactions this week. The current market capitalization of NEPSE stands at Rs. 2,934,488.51 million i.e. Rs 29.34 Kharba.

NEPSE index and Sub-indices performance: (Incline is based on the previous week's close)

The NEPSE index inclined by 8.67% this week. All sector indices closed green.

Stocks with the highest Monthly Beta

The top three companies with the highest beta are Ajod Insurance Limited (AIL), Himalayan Power Partner Limited (HPPL), and Siddhartha Insurance Limited (SIL) with 2.476, 2.390, and 2.371 respectively.