The Art of Selling: Trading based on NEPSE Demand and Supply Zones
Introduction
Share trading is a dynamic endeavor that requires a deep understanding of market trends and the ability to make informed decisions. While much emphasis is often placed on buying stocks at the right time, knowing when to sell is equally crucial. Strategic selling involves a combination of technical analysis, risk management, and an understanding of market psychology.
Buying is often the simple part.
You're in as soon as you've found a favorable entry point and bought a stock. You may even be investing in the same share on a regular basis in an automated manner.
However, a number of things could occur later that could make selling the same stock difficult. But it doesn't have to be so. Here are some things to consider when selling your shares.
Achieving Your Trading Goals
Before delving into the technical aspects of selling, it's crucial to revisit your trading goals. Are you aiming for short-term gains, or are you in it for the comparatively long haul? Your selling strategy should align with your trading objectives. If you've achieved your target profits or if your financial situation or goals change, it might be time to consider selling. Trading goals are bound to certain and comparatively small time frames. There may not be HATHY always so setting a big goal in a single trade may not be practical however setting small returns per trade may be achievable. In this article, we will discuss Reversal Pattern Demand and supply-zone-based Selling strategies in the context of our recent market behavior.
Understanding Demand and Supply Zones
Before delving into when to sell, let's understand what Demand and Supply Zones are. These are areas on a price chart where the balance between buyers and sellers shifts, leading to potential changes in the direction of the stock's price. Understanding these zones helps you to be at a nice and clean trading setup.
Demand Zone:
This is an area where buying interest is significantly higher than selling pressure. It often serves as a Support Level, indicating that if the price approaches this zone, there might be a potential Upward Reversal. In a broader analysis of NEPSE, recently, we have seen 1800s as a major Demand Zone. However, there are other minor demand zones in between.
Supply Zone:
Conversely, a Supply Zone is an area where selling interest surpasses buying pressure. It often acts as a Resistance Level, suggesting that if the price reaches this zone, there could be a potential Downward Reversal. NEPSE has seen the 2200s as its major Supply Zone in recent years although there are other minor supply zones in between.
Selling at Supply Zones
1. Identifying Resistance Levels: When a stock's price approaches a known historical high and shows signs of slowing down or reversing, it might be entering a Supply Zone.
2. Technical Indicators: Use technical indicators like Relative Strength Index (RSI) and/or Moving Averages to identify Overbought Conditions. If these indicators show that the stock is overextended, it could be a signal to sell, especially if it aligns with a Supply Zone.
3. Chart Patterns: Patterns like Double Tops or Head and Shoulder formations can indicate that a stock is reaching a point of Resistance. Selling when these patterns emerge near a Supply Zone can be a strategic move.
Aligning multiple of above said technical methods usually adds a confirmation to a strong move. While considering the above we should also be equally aware that these are lagging indicators and don’t predict the future, only provide information about what just happened.
Key Considerations When Selling
1. Risk Management: Set clear stop-loss orders based on your risk tolerance. This helps protect your trading fund in case the market doesn't behave as expected. For superior selling strategies, a trailing-stop-loss technique is considered a better profit enhancer rather than a simple stop-loss.
2. Staying Informed: Regularly monitor news and events that might impact the stocks you're holding. Unexpected developments can quickly change the dynamics of a stock's Demand and Supply Zones. While professional traders take them as noises, a trader at the beginning of their career should consider them. It helps to understand the intensities of such noises on stock prices, sectorial indicators, and NEPSE as a whole.
3. Diversification: Diversifying your portfolio reduces the impact of a single stock's performance on your overall trading fund. It can also provide more opportunities to implement the Demand and Supply Zone strategy effectively. One stock or sector may reach its Supply Zone while the others may still be in a Demand Zone.
Acting on the NEPSE zone:
In their recent history, the majority of stocks and their sub-indexes are creating higher-low price patterns however NEPSE is seen moving on a sideways pattern. As trading strategies are time-bound, it is better for every trader to sell in the Supply Zone of NEPSE and buy in its Demand Zone. There will be a day when the Supply Zone itself will become a Demand Zone showing a Continuation Pattern. If such velocities are seen in the market, it would be wise for any trader to off-load a certain portion of stocks in the Supply Zone and set a tight trailing stop-loss for the rest. We could re-enter in the same trade once it is technically confirmed that the Supply Zone has changed into a Demand Zone.
Conclusion
Knowing when to sell stocks is a nuanced skill, an art, which combines financial acumen, market awareness, and emotional discipline. Regularly reassessing trading strategy, and keeping an eye on factors that influence the market would put the trader towards a profitable edge. Whether driven by fundamental changes, technical indicators, or shifts in personal trading goals, a strategic selling approach is integral to successful and resilient trading. The key is finding the right balance between maximizing gains and mitigating risks while sticking to a pre-defined trading strategy.
Happy Trading!!
Article By -Astitwa Sharma
