Trend reversal signal observed; Shivam Cement in top losers list; Weekly Wrap Up of the NEPSE index

Fri, Jul 5, 2019 3:06 PM on Stock Market, Weekly Analysis, Featured,

NEPSE index movement:

The index opened at 1258.31 points and closed at 1260.47 points with the gain of 2.16 points (0.17%).

The candlestick chart of the weekly time-period is shown below;

This week the NEPSE has formed the first bullish candle after four consecutive bearish candles.

The Index broke the 38.2% (1254 points) Fibonacci level this week but could not hold there and reversed back and closed above it. The market has tested this resistance several times in the last three weeks but could not close below that level.

This week, the index has formed dozi kind of pattern with a longer tail on the lower side. The candlestick expressing how the buyers overcome the selling pressure of the market this week.

Whenever ‘dozi’ candlestick pattern has formed after the strong movement market usually turns the trend, sometimes instantly or sometimes lately after the formation of one or two similar kinds of candles.

This week’s candle injecting a hope of bullish rail.

NEPSE Chart Analysis:

The market was volatile this week, we have witnessed big movements in the NEPSE.

The daily rising turnover supporting the bulls in the market.

The concerning part for the buyers is on Thursday (Last trading day) the index closed at the lowest point of the day with small tail in the upper side which means sellers overcome the buying pressure and completely dominated the market yesterday.

However, the major technical indicators are supporting the bulls.

All the analysis are done with the SS Pro Software. To know more about the software click on the link below

SS Pro

Weekly Market Summary of NEPSE

More than 1.61 crore unit of shares of worth Rs 2.66 arba has been traded through 34 thousand transactions this week compared to 76 lakhs unit of shares of worth Rs 2.52 arba, last week. The current market capitalization of NEPSE stands at Rs. 1,568,593.01 Million.

Financials

This Week

Last Week

Change (%)

Total Turnover (Rs.)

2,669,719,142.00

2,523,013,811.00

5.81%

Total Traded Shares

16,100,063.00

7,658,917.00

110.21%

Total No. of Transactions

34,692.00

31,605.00

9.77%

Market Cap (in Millions Rs)

1,568,593.01

1,564,430.79

0.27%

Floated Market Cap (in Millions Rs)

558,957.40

548,355.89

1.93%

Average Turnover (Rs)

533,943,828.40

504,602,762.20

 

No of Trading Days

5

5

 

The turnover has increased by 5.81% this week compared to last week. The Total Traded shares increased by 110% which shows the stocks of lower market value has traded massively compared to last week.

Sector-wise breakdown of the turnover of this week:

The total turnover of the commercial bank sector has increased from 41% to 53.9%. This is the highest turnover percentage of commercial bank in last 3-4 months.

Promoter and Manu & Process make 15.5% of the total turnover this week.

Sector

Total Turnover (In Millions)

Weightage

Commercial

1438.18

53.87%

Promotor

232.38

8.70%

Manu & Process

180.75

6.77%

Microfinance

160.54

6.01%

Nonlife

159.01

5.96%

Hydropower

110.94

4.16%

Development

103.63

3.88%

Others

89.37

3.35%

Remaining

194.92

7.30%

 

NEPSE index and Sub-indices performance: (Increment here is based on the previous week closed value)

The NEPSE index up by 0.26%.  Majority of the indices were gainers this week. The top losing sector of this week is the Hotels sector.

Top gainer sector of this week is Non-Life insurance sector with 1.49% gain. The sub-index was the top loser for three consecutive weeks.

All the analysis are done with the SS Pro Software. To know more about the software click on the link below

SS Pro

Stock with the highest monthly Beta value from the Banking &Finance Sector

The table below shows the list:

Stock

LTP

Monthly Beta

Sector

SLBBL

485

4.36

Microfinance

JSLBB

1,194

4.25

Microfinance

NNLB

398

3.46

Microfinance

AMFI

529

3.21

Microfinance

SDESI

554

3.17

Microfinance

NLBBL

488

3.06

Microfinance

NMBMF

976

2.92

Microfinance

MSLB

902

2.85

Microfinance

FMDBL

385

2.76

Microfinance

LFC

126

2.55

Finance

Swarojgar Laghubitta Bittiya Sanstha Limited (SLBBL) has the highest monthly Beta value of 4.36 followed by the Janautthan Samudayic Laghubitta Bikas Bank Limited (JSLBB) with 4.25 beta value.

Nine out of 10 companies of the top ten beta value belong to the microfinance sector.

Top Ten Gainers of the week:  

This list excludes the promoter’s shares.

Symbol

Initial Price (Rs.)

Closing Price (Rs.)

 Change (Rs.)

Change (%)

SMFBS

309.00

416.00

107

34.63

SLBBL

420.00

485.00

65

15.48

SLBS

710

793

83

11.69

CCBL

167

178

11

6.59

SMFDB

498

530

32

6.43

GMFBS

436.00

464.00

28

6.42

MPFL

119

126

7

5.88

KKHC

70

74

4

5.71

CBL

145

152

7

4.83

NAGRO

501.00

525.00

24

4.79

JSLBB

1,145.00

1,194.00

49

4.28

Swabhimaan Laghubitta Bittiya Sanstha Limited (SMFBS) is the top gainer of the week. SMFBS closed at Rs 416 with Rs 107 (34.63%) increment.

Swarojgar Laghubitta Bittiya Sanstha Limited (SLBBL) price has increased by Rs 65 (15.48%), this week.

All the analysis are done with the SS Pro Software. To know more about the software click on the link below

SS Pro

Top Ten Losers of the week:

This list excludes the promoter’s shares.

Symbol

Initial Price (Rs.)

Closing Price (Rs.)

 Change (Rs.)

Change (%)

UNHPL

136.00

114.00

-22

-16.18

RRHP

115.00

108.00

-7

-6.09

RLFL

131

124

-7

-5.34

JOSHI

83

79

-4

-4.82

SHIVM

644

615

-29

-4.5

NHPC

68.00

65.00

-3

-4.41

CHL

92

88

-4

-4.35

SFFIL

217

208

-9

-4.15

HPPL

182

175

-7

-3.85

BFC

105.00

101.00

-4

-3.81

SPARS

453.00

436.00

-17

-3.75

Union Hydropower Company Limited (UNHPL) is the top loser of the week. UNHPL's stock opened at Rs 136 and closed at Rs 114 with the loss of 16.18% (Rs 22).

Rairang Hydropower Development Company Limited (RRHP) lost 6.09% (Rs 7).

Top Stocks by Turnover:

Nepal Bank Limited (NBL) was the top traded company of the week. More than Rs 20.73 crore worth of NBL shares were traded this week.

Symbol

Initial Price (Rs.)

Closing Price (Rs.)

 Change (Rs.)

Change (%)

Turnover

NBL

335.00

337.00

2

0.60

207,326,782

PRVU

269.00

271.00

2

0.74

164,369,896

MEGA

201

208

7

3.48

130,390,170

SHIVM

644

615

-29

-4.5

117,241,071

GBIMEP

173

173

0

0

103,800,000

CBL

145.00

152.00

7

4.83

85,913,660

CCBL

167

178

11

6.59

82,974,760

NCCB

252

248

-4

-1.59

73,556,012

NTC

703

698

-5

-0.71

70,622,408

JBNL

207.00

214.00

7

3.38

63,179,554

NICA

463.00

462.00

-1

-0.22

61,783,573

Mega Bank (MEGA) is the second top traded company of the week with Rs 16.43 crore transaction amount.

Top Buyers Brokers of the Week:

Vision Securities Pvt. Limited (Broker No- 34) was the top Buyer broker of this week and it has bought stocks of worth Rs 19.57 crores.

S.N.

Broker No.

Broker Name

Buy Amount (Rs.)

1

34

Vision Securities Pvt.Limited

195,755,954.00

2

42

Sani Securities Company Limited

181,023,590.00

3

58

Naasa Securities Co. Ltd.

135,446,823.10

4

45

Imperial Securities Co .Pvt.Limited

134,306,239.00

5

49

Online Securities Pvt.Ltd

98,056,047.00

6

56

Shree Hari Securities Pvt.Ltd

88,532,607.00

7

6

Agrawal Securities Pvt. Limited

84,586,424.00

8

32

Premier Securites Company Limited

82,352,924.60

9

44

Dynamic Money Managers Securities Pvt.Ltd

80,606,082.00

10

28

Shree Krishna Securities Limited

72,687,167.40

All the analysis are done with the SS Pro Software. To know more about the software click on the link below

SS Pro

Top Seller Broker of the Week:

Opal Securities Investment Pvt. Limited. (Broker No- 4) is the top seller broker for this week. The brokerage firm has sold stocks of worth Rs 23.27 crores.

S.N.

Broker No.

Broker Name

Sell Amount (Rs.)

1

4

Opal Securities Investment Pvt. Limited

232,706,323.96

2

34

Vision Securities Pvt.Limited

199,532,989.40

3

45

Imperial Securities Co .Pvt.Limited

170,298,031.00

4

58

Naasa Securities Co. Ltd.

159,609,561.10

5

49

Online Securities Pvt.Ltd

98,801,375.00

6

39

Sumeru Securities Pvt.Limited

90,017,598.16

7

28

Shree Krishna Securities Limited

86,421,674.00

8

44

Dynamic Money Managers Securities Pvt.Ltd

78,114,605.00

9

42

Sani Securities Company Limited

73,366,361.00

10

17

ABC Securities Pvt. Limited

65,426,394.00