115.12 Points Gain with Highest Index Close: Why This Week Will Certainly Go down as the Greatest Ever in NEPSE's History
Fri, Nov 27, 2020 2:23 PM on Stock Market, Weekly Analysis, Featured,
NEPSE closed at the highest point ever, 1893.24 points. NEPSE index gained 115.12 points (6.47%) in this trading week. Last Week's market closed at 1778.12 points and this week closed at 1893.24 points on Thursday. 165.16 points volatility was witnessed this week, with the market reaching the highest 1926.91 and the lowest 1761.75.
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Candlestick pattern:
Long two green candles and three red candles were formed this week.
Exponential Moving Average:
We have used EMA's of 5 days' time period (blue line), 20 days' time period (red line). At present, NEPSE Index is above both 5 days EMA and 20 days EMA. Values above moving average signals for bullishness. The golden cross signal was generated by moving average on the 18th of October, 2020.
Moving Average Convergence and Divergence:
MACD line (blue) and the signal line (red line) are in the positive zone. MACD line rises above the signal line, this indicates a bullish signal, which suggests that the Nepse index is likely to experience upward momentum.
Fibonacci retracement:
A Fibonacci retracement refers to areas of support or resistance. The indicator is useful because it can be drawn between any two significant price points, such as a high and a low, and then the indicator will create the levels between those two points.
The Fibonacci retracement levels are
1.618% -1977
100% - 1662
78.6% - 1553
Turnover
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Support and resistance level for the next trading week according to Pivot Point.
Pivot Point- 1860 point
1st Resistance- 1959 point 1st Support- 1794 point
2nd Resistance- 2025 point 2nd Support- 1695 point
3rd Resistance- 2107 point 3rd Support- 1612 point
Conclusion: All major indicators are supporting the bullish trend. We can aspect the market to have volatility next week.
Listing of the Week:
| S.N. | Name | Listed Unit | Listed Date | Type of Listing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Development Bond 2086 Gha | 200000000 | 8/5/2077 | IPO |
| 2 | Development Bond 2084 Gha | 100000000 | 8/5/2077 | IPO |
| 3 | Development Bond 2087 Gha | 200000000 | 8/5/2077 | IPO |
| 4 | Narayani Development Bank | 218746 | 8/8/2077 | Bonus |
| 5 | Civil Laghubitta Bittiya Sansthan Ltd. | 1141140 | 8/9/2077 | Right |
| 6 | Nerude Laghubitta Bittiya Sansthan Ltd. | 596470.5 | 8/12/2077 | Bonus |
Weekly Market Summary of NEPSE:
More than 7.5 crore unit shares of worth Rs 31.54 arba has been traded through 28.71 lakh transactions this week. The current market capitalization of NEPSE stands at Rs. 2,537,442.28 Million.
| This Week (NOV 22-26) | Last Week (Nov 15-19) | Percentage Change | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total Turnover (Rs.) | 31,543,188,200.00 | 10,907,771,720.00 | 189.18% |
| Average Turnover Per Day (Rs.) | 6,308,637,640.00 | 5,453,885,860.00 | 15.67% |
| Total Traded Shares | 75,838,864.00 | 25,737,382.00 | 194.66% |
| Total No. of Transactions | 287,130.00 | 100,014.00 | 187.09% |
| Market Cap at (In million Rs) | 2,537,442.28 | 2,382,709.38 | 6.49% |
| Floated Market Cap at (In million Rs) | 873,535.25 | 821,677.46 | 6.31% |
| No of trading days | 5 | 2 |
Sector-wise breakdown of the turnover of this week:
The commercial bank's sector made 31.45% of the total turnover this week followed by the Non-Life Insurance sector with 14.82% of the total turnover.
| Sector | This Week (NOV 22-26) | |
|---|---|---|
| Turnover (Rs in Millions) | Weightage | |
| Commercial Banks | 9920.17 | 31.45% |
| Non Life Insurance | 4674.99 | 14.82% |
| Others | 4479.13 | 14.20% |
| Life Insurance | 2974.34 | 9.43% |
| Hydro Power | 2500.64 | 7.93% |
| Manufacturing And Processing | 2209.43 | 7.00% |
| Microfinance | 2053.28 | 6.51% |
| Development Banks | 858.64 | 2.72% |
| Promotor Shares | 664.26 | 2.11% |
| Finance | 505.49 | 1.60% |
| Hotels | 261.18 | 0.83% |
| Tradings | 171.76 | 0.54% |
| Mutual Fund | 106.9 | 0.34% |
| Debentures | 3.68 | 0.01% |
| Preference Shares | 0.3 | 0.00% |
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NEPSE index and Sub-indices performance: (Increment here is based on the previous week closed value)
The NEPSE index increased by 6.47% this week. The top gainer sector of this week is the Manufacturing and Processing sector with a rise of 14.93%. The top loser sector of this week is the Hotel sector with a fall of 4.12% followed by the Life Insurance sector with a fall of 1.41%.
| Index | This Week | Last Week | Change | % Change Index |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NEPSE | 1,893.24 | 1778.12 | 115.12 | 6.47% |
| Sensitive | 365.18 | 343.07 | 22.11 | 6.44% |
| Float | 128.54 | 120.99 | 7.55 | 6.24% |
| Sensitive Float | 116.57 | 110.34 | 6.23 | 5.65% |
| Banking | 1,437.56 | 1322.48 | 115.08 | 8.70% |
| Development Bank | 2,144.27 | 2098.92 | 45.35 | 2.16% |
| Finance | 898.93 | 889.23 | 9.70 | 1.09% |
| Hotels | 2,031.20 | 2118.59 | -87.39 | -4.12% |
| HydroPower | 1,477.81 | 1448.07 | 29.74 | 2.05% |
| Life Insurance | 10,970.28 | 11126.86 | -156.58 | -1.41% |
| Manu. And Processing | 4,406.09 | 3833.87 | 572.22 | 14.93% |
| Microfinance | 2,859.19 | 2769.18 | 90.01 | 3.25% |
| Mutual Fund | 11.67 | 11.78 | -0.11 | -0.93% |
| Non Life Insu | 9,720.70 | 9610.63 | 110.07 | 1.15% |
| Others | 1,528.05 | 1370.69 | 157.36 | 11.48% |
| Trading | 2,320.31 | 2193.94 | 126.37 | 5.76% |
Stock with the highest monthly Beta value from the Banking, Insurance & Finance Sector
Ajod Insurance Limited (AIL) has the highest monthly Beta value of 2.11 followed by Goodwill Finance Company Limited Limited (GFCL) and Lumbini General Insurance Limited (LGIL) with 1.88 and 1.81 beta value respectively.
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Top Ten Gainers of the week:
Neco Insurance Company Limited Promoter (NIL) is the top gainer of this week. NILPO closed at Rs 395.25 with Rs 295.25 (295.25%) increment.
| S.N. | Symbol | Open Price (Rs.) | Closing Price (Rs.) | Change (Rs.) | Change (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NILPO | 100 | 395.25 | 295.25 | 295.25 |
| 2 | AKJCL | 122 | 160 | 38 | 31.15 |
| 3 | NABIL | 905 | 1130 | 225 | 24.86 |
| 4 | AIL | 563 | 700 | 137 | 24.33 |
| 5 | HDL | 2928 | 3575 | 647 | 22.1 |
| 6 | MPFL | 143 | 174 | 31 | 21.68 |
| 7 | NMBMF | 897 | 1089 | 192 | 21.4 |
| 8 | NRIC | 1110 | 1339 | 229 | 20.63 |
| 9 | SHIVM | 925 | 1114 | 189 | 20.43 |
| 10 | BBC | 3329 | 4000 | 671 | 20.16 |
All the analysis is done with the SS Pro Software. To know more about the software, click on the link below
SS Pro
Top Ten Losers of the week:
Kumari Bank Limited Promoter (KBLPO) price has decreased by 24.21% and its LTP stands at Rs 80.34.
| S.N. | Symbol | Open Price (Rs.) | Closing Price (Rs.) | Change (Rs.) | Change (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | KBLPO | 106 | 80.34 | -25.66 | -24.21 |
| 2 | RMDC | 1002 | 878 | -124 | -12.38 |
| 3 | MHNL | 224 | 208 | -16 | -7.14 |
| 4 | NICA | 670 | 624 | -46 | -6.87 |
| 5 | SHL | 222 | 209 | -13 | -5.86 |
| 6 | GLICL | 632 | 595 | -37 | -5.85 |
| 7 | EBLCP | 642 | 605 | -37 | -5.76 |
| 8 | GFCL | 232 | 219 | -13 | -5.6 |
| 9 | SPDL | 242 | 229 | -13 | -5.37 |
| 10 | GHL | 137.00 | 130.00 | -7 | -5.11 |
(*RMDC, NICA bonus share adjustment done)
Top Stocks by Turnover, Volume, and Number of Transaction:
Nepal Reinsurance Company Limited (NRIC) is the top traded company of the week. A total of
| S.N. | Top Turnover | Top No of Transaction | Volume | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Symbol | Turnover (Rs.) | Symbol | Trans (No) | Symbol | Volume | |
| 1 | NRIC | 2,079,997,090 | NRIC | 15,123 | GIMES1 | 4,402,085 |
| 2 | NTC | 1,295,785,407 | SGI | 8,916 | NBL | 3,212,008 |
| 3 | NBL | 1,200,294,717 | PRVU | 8,491 | PRVU | 2,766,367 |
| 4 | NLIC | 1,111,993,765 | RLI | 7,866 | NHPC | 2,138,048 |
| 5 | HDL | 1,101,924,634 | NICA | 7,466 | KBL | 2,053,866 |
| 6 | NICA | 1,041,718,603 | AIL | 6,816 | SEF | 1,744,248 |
| 7 | NABIL | 1,032,604,589 | GIC | 5,937 | PCBL | 1,721,262 |
| 8 | SHIVM | 967,825,456 | NLIC | 5,774 | NRIC | 1,713,966 |
| 9 | PRVU | 895,853,492 | NABIL | 5,714 | HIDCL | 1,667,410 |
| 10 | NIL | 801,303,918 | NBL | 5,570 | NICA | 1,558,253 |
Top Buyers Brokers of the Week:
Naasa Securities (Broker No- 58) was the top buyer broker of this week and it has bought stocks worth Rs 1.63 arba.
| S.N. | Broker No. | Broker Name | Buy Amount (Rs.) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 58 | Naasa Securities Co.Ltd | 1,636,625,174.62 |
| 2 | 44 | Dynamic Money Managers Securities Pvt.Ltd | 1,138,981,722.80 |
| 3 | 45 | Imperial Securities Co.Pvt.Limited | 1,119,720,882.20 |
| 4 | 49 | Online Securities Pvt.Ltd | 1,085,689,165.20 |
| 5 | 35 | Vision Securities Pvt.Limited | 916,118,423.72 |
| 6 | 50 | Crystal Kanchenjunga Securities Pvt.Ltd | 812,956,150.76 |
| 7 | 42 | Sani Securities Company Limited | 776,040,928.80 |
| 8 | 33 | Dakshinkali Investment Securities Pvt.Limited | 754,421,748.84 |
| 9 | 38 | Dipshika Dhitopatra Karobar Co.Pvt.Limited | 747,160,176.00 |
| 10 | 57 | Araya Tara Investment And Securities Pvt.Ltd | 686,152,651.38 |
Top Buyer Brokers Top 10 Bought Companies:
| S.N. | Symbol | Buy Quantity | Buy Amount (Rs.) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NTC | 634,823 | 630,541,484 |
| 2 | HDL | 169,604 | 524,353,779 |
| 3 | NBL | 1,263,220 | 464,687,359 |
| 4 | NRIC | 332,921 | 404,851,522 |
| 5 | NABIL | 374,974 | 390,097,367 |
| 6 | NLIC | 204,246 | 337,589,167 |
| 7 | NIL | 277,299 | 228,304,733 |
| 8 | NICA | 407,932 | 277,975,112 |
| 9 | PCBL | 715,238 | 273,462,523 |
| 10 | SHIVM | 248,881 | 243,052,472 |
Top Seller Broker of the Week:
| S.N. | Broker No. | Broker Name | Buy Amount (Rs.) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 58 | Naasa Securities Co.Ltd | 1,636,625,174.62 |
| 2 | 44 | Dynamic Money Managers Securities Pvt.Ltd | 1,138,981,722.80 |
| 3 | 45 | Imperial Securities Co.Pvt.Limited | 1,119,720,882.20 |
| 4 | 49 | Online Securities Pvt.Ltd | 1,085,689,165.20 |
| 5 | 35 | Vision Securities Pvt.Limited | 916,118,423.72 |
| 6 | 50 | Crystal Kanchenjunga Securities Pvt.Ltd | 812,956,150.76 |
| 7 | 42 | Sani Securities Company Limited | 776,040,928.80 |
| 8 | 33 | Dakshinkali Investment Securities Pvt.Limited | 754,421,748.84 |
| 9 | 38 | Dipshika Dhitopatra Karobar Co.Pvt.Limited | 747,160,176.00 |
| 10 | 57 | Araya Tara Investment And Securities Pvt.Ltd | 686,152,651.38 |
Top Seller Brokers Top 10 Sold Companies:
| S.N. | Symbol | Sales Quantity | Sales Amount (Rs.) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | NRIC | 560,588 | 670,062,041 |
| 2 | HDL | 155,584 | 489,770,579 |
| 3 | NBL | 1,260,716 | 466,705,760 |
| 4 | NTC | 433,913 | 436,153,751 |
| 5 | NLIC | 254,939 | 420,612,639 |
| 6 | NICA | 496,148 | 335,158,137 |
| 7 | SHIVM | 292,079 | 292,571,306 |
| 8 | SICL | 170,482 | 272,222,395 |
| 9 | PRVU | 840,075 | 271,561,526 |
| 10 | NIL | 249,698 | 261,381,183 |
Top Companies with Highest Market Capitalizations:
All the analysis are done with the SS Pro Software. To know more about the software click on the link below
SS Pro
Major Events, News of the Week:
NEPSE Index Playing Above All-Time High: Should I Sell? Should I Add in My Portfolio?
Where do you see NEPSE in the near future? This is what experts say
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